Lonesome Pundit

Bettting, DFS, Football, NFL – bit of randomness


Leave a comment

DFS Week 3

Sorry for the lack of an update last week – I ended up breaking just about even on Draftkings. With very little return in the way of cash games but did have a best place finish of 5k out of 277k in the millionaire event. I had a lot of exposure in cash games to Green, Brown and Robinson which killed me somewhat.

This week I’m going to tighten up my events and put a little more thought into matters. Will probably play it 80/20 in terms of cash games as if you make the top 50% you double your investment. The tournaments are much harder to win a decent pot with and even that 5k only returned $40 profit. They are far too top heavy bit like poker tournaments I guess.

Anyhow this week here is my main tournament lineup. Personally I’m going to use the tournaments as taking more risks and then the cash games much more solid. High-ownership in the cash games isn’t a problem but in the tournament you need a few contrarian plays. My favourite this week is Wilson/Graham from Seahawks. It’s not been a good week for the Hawks what with losing to the terrible Rams and then losing a draft pick. I expect them to come out really firing against the old foes the 49ers – who play fast and last week showed us are liable to concede stacks of points. I also want to ensure I have an investment in the Colts/Chargers game and then a few more players who could have low ownership. Firstly Allen Robinson who has had a couple of tough weeks but I’m expecting him to bounce back this week and DeSean Jackson who for some reason always seems to get under-owned despite his propensity to score an 80 yard TD each week. Benjamin’s ownership will be high but he is the top pass catching option in that game with Jason Verrett on Hilton. I want pass catching backs against bad run defences hence the choices of David Johnson, Coleman and Murray. The Cowboys are my favourite defense this week. I also like the Dolphins naturally vs the Browns and Kessler but I’d expect a lot of players to be on the Dolphins. Bryan Hoyer on a short week appeals a lot.

Tournament line-up

Russell Wilson $7,100

David Johnson $7,700

DeMarco Murray $6,300

Allen Robinson £7,500

DeSean Jackson $5,900

Travis Benjamin $5,200

Jimmy Graham $3,000

Tevin Coleman $4,500

Cowboys $2,500

 

My cash game line ups will be based around the following players and I will be doing very little stacking here. The player I have pretty much everywhere is Stefon Diggs at $5,100. He and Bradford looked awesome the other night and the Panthers secondary is definitely not its strongest suit.

QB – Rivers, Ryan, Luck, Tannehill

RB – D Williams, CJ Anderson, Gordon, Forte, Elliott, Sproles, Riddick, Sims.

WR – Brown, Julio, Fitzgerald, Diggs, Benjamin, Cooks, Marvin Jones, Dorsett

TE – Witten, Walker, Pitta, Tamme

D – Dolphins, Bengals, Cowboys

 

Will try get some game picks up for Sunday as we now have a decent idea of how the teams are looking.