Long time no see.
Thought I would pop back in with the NFL season just about to start and the football season beginning to get into a bit more swing. This year instead of picking NFL games as we go (not that I did that last year) I thought it would be more helpful perhaps to list my favourite DFS (Daily Fantasy Selection) plays each week and post up some teams. After all I’m kinda addicted to fantasy football, fantasy NFL what not …
I’m going to be playing on the Draft Kings UK site – you can find a link on my Twitter and it’s also here. https://www.draftkings.co.uk/r/LonesomePundit
Week 1 –
Looking through this section of games I want a fair bit of exposure to the games in Indianapolis, New Orleans and Dallas. Historically all those teams involved in those games are not great defensively so I would lean to those games being more shoot outs. The Cardinals v Patriots game is one I really feel could end up lower scoring than expected with New England having to roll with Garrapolo. My favourite stacks this week are Stafford + Marvin Jones (Colts secondary in a bad way), Manning + OBJ (Pretty standard), Luck + Moncrief – predicting a high score game there.
Players I want to have in as many lineups as possible include Spencer Ware ($4,000), M Jones ($4,800) and Moncrief ($6,000).
QB wise – I would lean towards those games where it looks to be high scoring. Prescott is a decent cheap option but I’m favouring the likes of Luck, Manning, Stafford. Rodgers could easily light up Jacksonville also. I would look at avoiding Newton.
Running back wise I have looked with my teams at getting one RB who is relatively expensive Miller or Elliott and then some cheaper options Jennings, Ware, Mathews. I’m fading Gurley at 49ers as I feel that could end up a defensive slog fest around 15-12. Other running backs I would look at avoiding are David Johnson, McCoy and Lacy. Where possible I’d lean to using the flex as a wide receiver as they tend to score the bigger points (20+), running backs bit more consistent but you want to shoot for the stars.
Wide receivers I think it makes sense to pay up for the quality where best possible – so Brown, Julio and OBJ are in a number of my teams. I’m also using Watkins (Ravens secondary wasn’t great last year), Marvin Jones, Moncrief and Lockett (Big play ability) in several teams. Tajae Sharpe ($3,000) is a worthwhile consideration for a cheap flex to accomodate some of the bigger names.
WRs I’m fading at this point include Hopkins (think Houston run all over Bears – not confident in Osweiler), Dez Bryant (mainly due to workload – think they run more), AJ Green (Revis Island) and Amari Cooper. In essence I would try and get two of OBJ, Julio or Brown and pair them with a lower rated stud in a predicted high scoring game.
TE – Gronk at his $7,400 is a fade for me. Especially with Garrapolo throwing the nut. I would lean towards some lower options here including Walford, Dwayne Allen, McDonald and Virgil Green.
DST – Browns ($2,300) – Carson Wentz. Texans, Eagles, Giants also teams I like.
Here is my team for the $5m Millionaire event.
Will post some thoughts on the actual games Friday/Saturday. Panthers @ Broncos tomorrow.