Lonesome Pundit

Bettting, DFS, Football, NFL – bit of randomness

System Bets – 15th April

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Yesterday ended up a washout the only runner pulling up, with the other three non runners. I know I’ve said I’ll keep tracking the jumps but I’ve decided to not bother mainly due to time – mainly due to the actual time in the season. Also after looking back at a few old blog posts and stats I’m going to tweak the system slightly to include trainer course form. There are a few examples from back in 2011 where this is important and reading back it makes sense to make a note of them. As such trainer must have an 8% record at the course, this may seem low but rest assured a lot of runners were cropping up in 2011 which had 1% and 2% and really needed excluded. Also going to lower the win rate to 25% from 27% due to the course filter. Should hopefully bring back a few more selections… Regards the colours below. The ones in red are Class 3, 4, 5 handicaps on the flat/aw. Still tracking the lot at the minute.

 

Also got a few things from a fella on Twitter regarding laying so will want to look at the in more detail in the coming days.

 

Rest of the day yesterday was pretty depressing, my own fault that though. One moves on though clocks can’t be turned back.

 

 

TOR14

 

2.20 Windsor – Primitorio – R Beckett (5) Maiden (CSR – 16%) @

3.10 Redcar – Bitusa – G Swinbank (5) Maiden (CSR – 8%) @

3.10 Redcar – Dairam – C Hills (5) Maiden (CSR – 50%) @

 

TJ14

 

2.20 Windsor – Primitorio – R Beckett/J Crowley (5) Maiden (CSR – 16%) @

3.30 Newcastle – Flying Applause – R Bowring/M Coumbe (5) Handicap (CSR – 8%) @ 12/1 (Paddy Power)

3.40 Redcar – Destiny Blue – B Ellison/D Swift (4) Handicap (CSR – 8%) @ 7/2 (Various)

4.30 Newcastle – West End Lad – R Bowring/M Coumbe (5) Handicap (CSR – 8%) @ 6/1 (Bet 365)

4.30 Newcastle – Morocco – D O’Meara/D Tudhope (5) Handicap (CSR – 9%) @ 6/1 (Paddy Power)

5.00 Newcastle – Nurpur – D O’Meara/D Tudhope (5) Maiden (CSR – 9%) @

5.10 Redcar – Looks Like Rain – B Ellison/D Swift (5) Handicap (CSR – 8%) @ 8/1 (Paddy Power)

5.30 Newcastle – Dick Bos – D O’Meara/D Tudhope (4) Handicap (CSR – 9%) @ 13/8 (Various)

6.00 Newcastle – Petrol – D O’Meara/D Tudhope (6) Handicap (CSR – 9%) @ 9/2 (Bet 365)

 

 

 

 

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