Lonesome Pundit

Bettting, DFS, Football, NFL – bit of randomness

New month .. new design .. new plans!

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After a brief hiatus I’m back and raring to go for the forthcoming flat season. It’s not really kicked into life but with Aintree being the last of the recognised decent jumps action – I never bother looking at Ireland – it’s time to concentrate purely on the flat, albeit I will have a dabble on the action at Aintree later this week.

I’m going to look at trialling a few new systems and just work with a few things to see if we can turn a profit. I wouldn’t advise anyone to follow these selections and for now I’m concentrating on Class 3 and above on the flat on races where I get a chance … I may revisit my system from last year which looked at trainers in form in Class 4 and 5 handicap in time, something for a later date.

Anyways this may not make sense and most of my workings out will appear in spreadsheet form – but have awarded a score of 3, 2, 1 in each of the categories, a kind of hap-hazard personal rating. Going forward I’ll just leave a score with you and not the working’s out.

4.25 Pontefract

Top Trainer Past 14 days – J Gosden 27% – SPLENDID LIGHT (3) – Next best LICENCE TO TILL (2)/KINYRAS (2)

Top Trainer Course – J Gosden 29% – SPLENDID LIGHT (3) – SUITS ME (2)/LAS VERGLAS STAR (2)

Top Jockey Past 14 days – G Gibbons 29% – DEAUVILLE FLYER (3) – SPLENDID LIGHT (2) – LAS VERGLAS STAR (1)/REVE DE NUIT (1)

Top Jockey Course – J Fortune 26% – BEAUMONTS PARTY (3) – SUITS ME (2)/LICENCE TO TILL (2)

Horse by Going – 33% LAS VERGLAS STAR (3)/NORTHSIDE PRINCE (3) – DEAUVILLE FLYER (2)

Horse by Distance – 50% KINYRAS (3) – BEAUMONTS PARTY (2) – NORTHSIDE PRINCE (1)

Horse by Course – 50% SUITS ME (3) – NORTHSIDE PRINCE (2)/LICENCE TO TILL (2)

Handicap Win Mark Score (I will explain at some later date)  -1 REVE DE NUIT (3) +2 MIRRORED (2) +3 LICENCE TO TILL (1)

Topspeed Distance – 121 MIRRORED (3) – REVE DE NUIT (2) – SUITS ME (1)

Topspeed Going – 121 MIRRORED (3) – LAS VERGLAS STAR (2)/KINYRAS (2)

Topspeed Course – 110 – LICENCE TO TILL (3) – SUITS ME (2) – NORTHSIDE PRINCE (1)

Recent form pick – SPLENDID LIGHT (3) – LAS VERGLAS STAR (2) – NORTHSIDE PRINCE (1)

 

Overall scores –

SPLENDID LIGHT 11

LICENCE TO TILL 10

LAS VERGLAS STAR 10

SUITS ME 10

MIRRORED 8

NORTHSIDE PRINCE 8

KINYRAS 6

REVE DE NUIT 6

BEAUMONTS PARTY 5

DEAUVILLE FLYER 4

 

Overall Pick – LICENCE TO TILL 10/1 

 

You might think well why Licence To Till – well based on the price he gives us the most value……

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