Lonesome Pundit

Bettting, DFS, Football, NFL – bit of randomness

Angry to Strike?

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Racing today is miles better than the sub-standard fare of the previous few days, the highlight being day one of the July Festival at Newmarket. The meeting is supplemented by Warwick, Epsom, Doncaster and Folkestone. Not going to nominate selections in all the races but some blurb below.

1.20 Newmarket –  Masked Marvel on form would be my pick here, he finished ahead of Dordogne at Goodwood and then subsequently ran pretty well in the Derby, the extra furlong shouldn’t be a problem. Solar Sky finished behind Namibian who was beaten by the Gosden horse, he looks something of an unknown quality and will definitely stay at the prices I’d prefer Masked Marvel of those two though. Census was staying on behind Brown Panther at Ascot but I think he will find this tougher and looks too short at 5/2. Zain Al Boldan looks overpriced based on her run at Lingfield where she finished ahead of Field Of Miracles in taking fashion, she has since been outclassed in the Oaks but that was run at a messy pace, she was well fancied for that and then well beaten on soft ground at Ascot behind Field Of Miracles and Banimpire. I think you can forgive her both runs and given a decent pace she could be in the mix, my concern would be over who would make that pace and for that reason it may become a messy old race. Hurricane Higgins has ability but has put a couple of stinkers in recently. At the prices I do like Zain Al Boldan but would caution against the potential lack of pace in the race. On official figures she doesn’t have a lot to find and the Channon stable is in good form.

1pt win Zain Al Boldan @ 12/1 Ladbrokes

1.50 Newmarket – This looks on paper and known form to rest between Roman Soldier and Frederick Engels, the first named unlucky in the Coventry with the latter winning the Windsor Castle both looking colts of some potential. The prices are about right as I’d probably veer towards Roman Soldier but at the same time I won’t be nominating a bet on either. Church Music is the unknown quantity but the second from his York maiden has subsequently let the form down he may well prove very handy and Fretwell tends to do well with his juveniles. Bannock finished down the field in the Norfolk behind Bapak Chinta who had previously beaten the progressive Frederick Engels by 3l, he looks somewhat exposed. North Star Boy bugs me and I think at the prices a bit like Zain Al Boldan he is worth a little nibble. He beat Roman Soldier on debut showing plenty of ability and then won a class 3 maiden at Ascot beating Lethal Force who also finished ahead of him in the Coventry as Roman Soldier did. Obviously he has to turn around the form with Roman Soldier and the step up in trip may prove a major disadvantage as it did at Royal Ascot but I just feel at 18/1 he’s worth another small chance. Watching the Coventry back he was widest of all and may have raced on slightly worse ground (clutching at straws I know!) but we shall see ..

0.5pt win North Star Boy @ 18/1 SkyBet

2.25 Newmarket – What a belting handicap. What a minefield also .. Mijhaar is all the rage in here and frankly he may well be a group horse in a handicap but I’d fancy a few of these will be in time so 5/2 about a horse in a 19 runner handicap really doesn’t appeal. I’m not going to go through them all and it’s a case of trying to sort out between those who will appreciate the trip, ground, course and whether there still well handicapped. It should be run at a decent clip with a few Johnston runners in the field and Malthouse is one who is well capable of sticking it up to his rivals as he continues look progressive and defy the handicapper. I’m going to go with one though who always runs a decent race and doesn’t ever win by much hence I think he may well still be pretty well handicapped. That one is Club Oceanic from Jeremy Noseda who has booked Mikael Barzalona for the ride. The horse steps up in class but has a 100% record on the turf. There’s a load of other dangers not least the Varian horse but I do think this colt is pretty useful and capable of going in off 94.

1pt win Club Oceanic @ 10/1 William Hill

4.40 NewmarketPerfect Blossom is 6/10 over this trip and although may be a little high in the weights of 91 this drop in class could see her back in the winning enclosure. She’s done most of her winning from the front and unable to get towards the front at Epsom last time out the run wasn’t that bad an effort. Most of this lot are prominent speedsters so she may well not get her own way out in front but the stable remains in decent form and she may well bounce out from her low draw and head them all off. That’s what I’m hoping at any rate.

1pt win Perfect Blossom @ 9/1 Boylesports

7.25 Epsom – I can’t resist having a little bet in here either. This horse will either come stone last or bounce back to his best. The one I’m talking about is Mark Johnston’s inmate Mister Angry, who I imagine makes his owners live up to his name from time to time, he may well have further targets down the line and as such the handicap mark may continue to plunge but he’s done most of his racing at a higher class, last season he won at Ascot off a mark of 84 and was sent off favourite for a decent race in Ireland off 93. Today he’s back down to a mark of 80 so well within a winnable sphere if putting his best foot forward. De Sousa rides a few at Epsom tonight after also riding at Newmarket and although it’s more likely he’s gone there to ride Crown Counsel he’s not ridden this boy before so could bring upon the required improvement. I do think he’ll win again and at 9/1 he’s worth chancing in what is a pretty average race. Ramona Chase likes it round Epsom but doesn’t win much albeit he’s been looking likely for a while. New Code has shot up the weights and put in a stinker last time out at Goodwood. Just think at the prices Mister Angry is worth a shot.

1pt win Mister Angry @ 9/1 Bet 365

 

Will send the system bets if any later.

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