Have updated the results of the systems from March 20th to March 28th. Overall a shade disappointing and it’s clear to see this is going to need further tweaking to be successful, the table below shows the data for the past week.
The second table highlights the overall data since I started following both systems. Not a complete success, I’m sure you’ll agree.
Having done some additional filtering, I’ve found a few areas which do improve the figures substantially. Notably excluding the Cheltenham results which were very disappointing with 28 selections and 0 winners. Tough racing is not ideal it seems. obviously makes sense as the competitive nature means it’s an awful lot harder to win and place horses, likewise I went back to find if Saturday’s racing which is more competitive made a difference and as you can see that again was disappointing with only 4 winners from 43 selections. Removing both filters leaves a much better 30.54pt success rate (remember this is from Industry SP so can be improved upon with early prices). The strike rate here is also quite healthy operating at around 25% which when the average SP is nearly 9/1 it’s pretty handy. The main thing to remember here though is the sample size is still very small, as such April will need to be a monitoring month again, it does point to a watching brief over Aintree.
Last thing I wanted to touch on just now was performance by track. Haven’t yet analysed all the jump tracks and additionally need to go back and add in filters for Chase, Hurdle, Bumper but the below highlights the four all weather tracks and these don’t yet suffer the Saturday syndrome. Kempton has performed well so far, definately worth noting a trainer sending one runner to the track, so far from 6 selections, 4 have won and the other two were second. Small sample size again but a nice positive statistic. It’s also pleasing that the flat bar Wolverhampton seems to be slightly better all good come the start of the flat season.
So in a nutshell from the first 25 odd days. Avoid Saturdays, Avoid Festivals, Avoid Wolves.
Tomorrow’s up later and perhaps a look ahead at the Lincoln.