Thought I’d pen down some thoughts as to why I’m using the free chip this week and not near the back end of the season like many others have advocated. I don’t think this is bad advice at all but I think ultimately you should do what your gut tells you.
At present my score is 246 with a current rank of 2m. Not great by any means –
Here is my week 5 team.
Now they haven’t performed great recently mainly because I keep making terrible knee jerk transfers (not a good move). I’ve had Firmino in for weeks 2, 4 and 5 (missed week 3) and had Chicarito since week 3 (been terrible). I sold Jesus in week 2 and have also regretted getting rid of Lukaku after his missed penalty in week 3 to bring in Kane. I’m happy with Kane and do think he is worth keeping. I’ve also played my wildcard so as you can see things are a mess. Alas I’m of the opinion that you cannot change what has happened before – you just have to deal with it.
Looking ahead to week 6 this team doesn’t look terrible but I have a few glaring problems. Top of the list is I don’t want Chicarito any more. I’m also becoming more sceptical of Firmino but don’t want to move him on just yet. The other main issue is the week 6 fixtures involving Man City and Arsenal, and to a lesser extent Everton (who people are forgetting have just played Chelsea, City and United).
By using the free hit I can solve these problems at a drop of the hat and switch a lot of the tricky away fixtures Leicester away, Saints away, Choupo etc. To much more favourable ones.
Here is my rough week 6 free hit side at present. This is liable to change but it gives you an idea of my thinking.
I will likely make further tweaks as Jesus, Aguero and Kane really appeals up top but the defence I feel are more likely to pick up clean sheets in easier home games and the midfield could really hit with those home fixtures. Up top I think one City striker this week is absolutely essential. Kane is performing better away from home and Abraham is really an enabler to go Sanchez. There are definitely other possible options.
I’ve looked at the likes of Ramsey, Vardy, Sigurdsson, Rooney, Brady, GroB as players in good fixtures at home – so it’s liable to change.
The other good bonus of taking the free hit now – in my opinion – is two fold. One the differentials you will pick up this week in good matches. Some ownership percentages below – not saying he will even play but if Sanchez scores a couple at his ownership it’s very sweet.
Hazard 2.8% – not ideal away to Stoke
When you compare that to the likes of my week 5 team with Mkhitarayan, Salah, Firmino and Eriksen at around 30% your definitely making a different side for week 6.
If obviously you save the free chip which I’d imagine 95% of players will do then your likely looking at using it later in the season perhaps in the BGW (blank game week) – which obviously makes sense but some of the ownership levels in that week will be crazy as everyone will be using the chip. From playing DFS on the NFL the way to win tournaments is be different and find those low ownership guys. If you want to go with the flow then by all means play safe.
This might end up a disaster but he who dares – usually gets another red arrow!